As we wait to hear where/when Mitt Romney will be in Pa Sunday . . .
If ever there were a place where a last-ditch torrent of money could move the needle, this is it. For the last couple of months, there has been a void of presidential ads in Pennsylvania. So when Republican strategists looked for places where their money could go the furthest, they set their sights here, reasoning that a dollar spent in Erie or Altoona would have a greater impact than in a place like Las Vegas or Cleveland, where political commercials have clogged the airwaves.
Republicans believe that even if they cannot stop the president from winning the state — and rob him of its crucial 20 electoral votes — they can cut into his margins with certain key demographics. Mr. Obama carried the state by 10 points in 2008, a victory in large part because of strong support in Philadelphia and its surrounding suburbs, some of which he carried by 20 points.
But those counties, which are full of upper-middle-class women and Jewish voters, are precisely the places where Republicans believe their efforts are paying off most.
Former Obama spokesman Robert Gibbs was on CBS's "This Morning" and said this, via Politico:
"I think it means the Romney-Ryan campaign is desperate to figure out how to win this race outside of the states that they've been contesting it in for 15 months," Gibbs said on CBS' "This Morning." "I think that's all Pennsylvania is for the Romney-Ryan campaign. Look, John McCain spent the last weekend of 2008 in Pennsylvania in a desperate attempt to do this as well."
How could Romney win Pa where other Rs have failed? Remember Paul Kane's story in the WashPost last week -- the theory goes he can follow Pat Toomey's SE Pa path of winning Bucks and Chester counties while being competitive in Montgomery.
NBC's First Read puts a damper on Romney's chances:
*** How to view Romney's move into Pennsylvania: There are two ways to interpret Mitt Romney's decision to campaign in Pennsylvania on Sunday. Either it's a move to run up the score (trying to get to 300 electoral votes) and project more momentum, or it's an effort to search for another path to 270 electoral votes. Ask yourself what is the more likely option, and it's hard to ignore the latter. Consider: Most public polls continue to show Obama leading slightly in Ohio, and Romney hasn't made a serious campaign effort in Keystone State since the primaries. Indeed, it's difficult not to compare this move to an on-side kick in football -- when you're behind by a touchdown with a few ticks on the clock left.