White Democrats who voted for Hillary Clinton in her commanding Pa primary win over Obama in the spring of 2008 turned around and helped him to a 10-point win over John McCain in the fall. Ain't that way no more, Public Policy Polling reports today.
His negatives outweigh his postitives statewide and part of the reason is grumbling by Democrats. He's tied with Mitt Romney, who picks up 18% of the Dem vote (Romney's followed by Bachmann, Pawlenty and Santorum among R's). From PPP's latest report:
Pennsylvania is looking more and more like it could be a tough hold for Barack Obama in 2012. His approval rating in the state continues to be under water at 46/48. More voters have expressed disapproval than happiness with Obama on all three polls PPP has done in the state so far in 2011. And even though Obama took Pennsylvania by 10 points in 2008 the best he can muster right now in a head to head match up with Mitt Romney is a tie.
Obama's problem in Pennsylvania appears to be the 'Hillary Democrats' finally causing him a real issue. There was a lot of speculation in 2008 that they wouldn't vote for him in the general election but in the end they did. Now though his approval rating with Democrats in the state is only 74%, well below his national numbers, and with white Democrats it goes down even further to 70%. Meanwhile Republicans are much more unified in their disapproval of Obama (85%, with only 10% approving) and the President's not getting any favors from independents either who break down slightly negatively (44/45) in their assessments of him.