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Historic year for GOP guvs, too?

Published by Tim McNulty on .

The gains most pollsters see for Republicans this election year (matched with anti-incumbency/anti-establishment fervor) may not only be in Congress -- the GOP may also see historic takeovers of governor's mansions nationwide (including in Harrisburg, which prognosticators see as leaning Republican).

Via Ed Morrissey at HotAir, here's an analysis from the University of Minnesota's Smart Politics blog:

As Democrats brace for a Republican pullback in the 2010 election cycle, the question on the minds of officeholders, party leaders, and D.C prognosticators is not whether the GOP will gain seats in the midterm elections across state and federal legislative and executive offices, but how many.

While the Republican Revolution of 1994 is perhaps most remembered for the tremendous gains the GOP made to take back the U.S. House (+54 seats), Republicans also won 24 of 36 gubernatorial races that year.

But in light of the current political environment and the latest horserace polls, political reporters may need to come up with a new term in 2010 that is even more grandiose than 'revolution' to describe the Republican advantage this November.

A Smart Politics analysis of nearly 1,800 gubernatorial elections since the beginning of the 20th Century finds that Republicans are poised to win more gubernatorial seats in 2010 than they have in any election cycle over the past 90 years.


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