1) We're still having some difficulty viewing Donald Trump as a legitimate presidential candidate, but that doesn't mean he didn't move the needle when he made his announcement on Tuesday. From our friends at Facebook, via P-G Washington Bureau Chief Tracie Mauriello: Mr. Trump's mess of a declaration generated 6.4 million interactions on FB yesterday. How does that compare to other presidential announcements? The Republican candidate whose announcement came closest to generating a Trump-like reaction was Ted Cruz, who generated 5.5 million interactions, while Rand Paul, Ben Carson and Marco Rubio each generated over a million. Jeb Bush generated just 849,000 interactions, although, to be fair, reaction his announcement on Monday might have been watered down by all the pre-announcements that preceded it. And not even the bluster of Hurricane Donald could match the announcement of Hillary Clinton, whose official entry into the race generated 10.1 million interactions.
2) We're having way too much fun with Mr. Trump's candidacy – a trend we pledge will continue – but especially for Republicans, his candidacy is worth watching carefully. You guys may recall Ross Perot, whose independent campaign in 1992 had a lot to do with George H.W. Bush not being able to hold off Bill Clinton. We don't think Mr. Trump will stick around that long, but he could hang on during the primaries long enough to steal votes from real candidates – like, say, Mr. Bush, who looks like a statue next to The Donald.
3) We are likely just days away from a U.S. Supreme Court ruling on the legality of federal healthcare subsidies, a ruling that could leave more than 6 million Americans in the lurch if those subsidies are taken away. But a handful of states – including Pennsylvania, which just gained conditional federal approval to create a marketplace for the state – are betting they have a solution ready to go.
4) Quinnipiac University's ongoing polling of swing states – that would be Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania – shows that Ms. Clinton is losing ground to Mr. Rubio here and in Florida. She's also losing in a head-to-head matchup with undeclared candidate Ohio Gov. John Kasich in his home state.
5) If you listen to presidential candidates long enough, this one thing becomes subconsciously ingrained: we shouldn't trust people from Washington D.C. #unleash