From Suffolk University:

BOSTON – With five weeks until the general election, Pennsylvania is leaning Republican, as GOP gubernatorial candidate Tom Corbett (47 percent) leads his Democratic rival Dan Onorato (40 percent), while Republican Senate candidate Pat Toomey (45 percent) clings to a five point lead over Democrat Joe Sestak (40 percent), according to the latest Suffolk University poll.  

“With the number of undecided voters shrinking, both Democrats need to shake things up in their respective races,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston.  “Otherwise, it will be a doubleheader victory for the GOP in this key state.”

. . . In the bellwether Erie County, both races were much closer.  In the Senate fight Toomey led Sestak 42 percent to 41 percent, while Corbett led Onorato 43 percent to 42 percent.  In the last mid-term general election in Pennsylvania, Erie county was within two points of the Rendell 58-42 percent statewide win over Republican Lynn Swann in the governor’s race, and Erie County exactly matched the 59-41 percent win of Bob Casey over Rick Santorum in the Senate fight in that same election.

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