Senate exit polls: Toomey, Manchin up Published by Tim McNulty on Tuesday, 02 November 2010 7:00 pm. Exit polling -- which is notoriously untrustworthy, but we can't help it -- leaked to HuffPost and other sources says Pat Toomey is up 4 points in Pa and Joe Manchin is up 7 in WVa. Join the conversation:Commenting policy