The Rothenberg Political Report, the closely watched handicapper of congressional races, continues to see more House seats in play in Pennsylvania than in any other state in the nation. The latest edition of the report, just out Friday, lists 10 of the state’s 19 districts as competitive to one degree or another. They are among the 79 seats regarded as being in play across the nation. Ominously for Democrats, the report’s latest look sees a shift in the Republican direction for seven of the competitive Keystone districts. Here’s the Rothenberg projection of the state’s congressional map, with starred districts indicating a shift in the Republican direction in recent weeks:
Pure Toss-Up _ Pa. 7, the Delaware County seat being vacated by Rep. Joe Sestak; and Pa. 12*, the open seat created by the death of Rep. John P. Murtha
Republican favored _ Pa. 6*, the suburban Philadelphia and Lehigh Valley seat being defended by Rep. Jim Gerlach; Pa 15, the Lehigh Valley seat being defended by Rep. Charlie Dent.
Lean Democratic _ Pa. 4*, the Southwestern Pennsylvania seat held by Rep. Jason Altmire; Pa. 11*, the Northeastern Pennsylvania seat held by veteran Rep. Paul Kanjorski.
Democrat favored _ Pa. 3*, Democratic Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper’s Northeastern Pennsylvania seat; Pa 8*, Bucks County seat held by Democrat Pat Murphy; Pa 10*, Northeastern Pa., seat held by Democrat Chris Carney; Pa. 17*, central Pennsylvania seat held by Democratic Rep. Tim Holden.