A new poll out of Suffolk University in Boston now shows Joe Sestak with a nine point lead over Arlen Specter.
The May 10-12 poll of 400 likely voters showed Sestak up 49-40% over Specter with 12 percent undecided. MoE of 4.9%. From their news release:
Sestak led Specter among men and women as well as all age groups. In addition, Sestak led 58 percent to 31 percent in central Pennsylvania and 55 percent to 37 percent in the Philadelphia/Delaware Valley area. Specter carried the southwest Pennsylvania area 45 percent to 38 percent. The highest undecided block of voters is in western Pennsylvania, where 17 percent are still undecided for U.S. Senate.
A heavy minority vote could make a difference for Specter. Sestak won white voters 51 percent to 37 percent but trailed among minority voters, where Specter led 52 percent to 37 percent. Sestak carried union households by a wide margin, 60 percent to 36 percent.
The Democratic Senate bellwether of York County showed a tighter race than the statewide survey, with Sestak leading 42 percent to 39 percent.
They also polled the guv race, where Dem Dan Onorato led closest challenger Anthony Williams 46-13, and Tom Corbett led Sam Rohrer 58-20 in the GOP contest.