WaPo's Chris Cillizza reports that a poll commissioned by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has Democrat Rep. Joe Sestak ahead of Republican Pat Toomey in the Senate race 47-40. They have similar favorable-unfavorable ratings, with Sestak at 34-18 and Toomey at 30-19.
Insert the usual caveat of this being absurdly early in the campaign, and the poll's (very biased) source should also be taken into consideration. Otherwise, have fun picking through the numbers, kids!
(h/t Colby Itkotwitz)