More good polling news for Democrat Tom Wolf and more bad omens for the re-election campaign of Gov. Tom Corbett _ that was the message from two new surveys of the race for governor.
Quinnipiac University conducted a series of trial heats between the governor and his leading Democratic challengers. He lost to all of them, which isn't new. What is new, at least in their results is the name of the Democrat who fares best in those theoretical matchups. After his weeks of heavy television advertising, it's York businessman Tom Wolf. Mr. Wolf led the incumbent, 52 percent to 33 percent. The other leading Democrats had narrower advantages. For U.S. Rep. Allyson Schwartz, it was 44 percent to 38 percent; Treasurer Rob McCord, 43 percent to 36 percent; former DEP Secretary Katie McGinty, 40 percent to 38 percent; former DEP Secretary John Hanger, 40 percent to 37 percent.
“We have eight months and change and we don’t know what kind of damage Democrats will inflict on each other in a primary campaign, but Wolf is the man of the hour,'' Tim Malloy, Quinnipiac's assistant director of polling said in a release. “Today, Gov. Corbett might tie a few possible Democratic challengers, but he beats no one.”
In the survey from Franklin & Marshall College, the Democrats were compared in a trial heat of their May 20 primary. As in a Harper Polling survey released Monday, Mr. Wolf dominated the field. It was Wolf, 36 percent; Schwartz, 3 percent, and no one else managed to collect more than 1 percent.
The analysis accompanying the numbers highlighted the impact of the Wolf ads in dictating the current state of the race:
"Slightly fewer than two thirds (65%) of registered Democrats have seen a television commercial for the candidates for governor. Of those who have seen a commercial, 88% have seen a commercial for Tom Wolf. Allyson Schwartz holds a narrow lead (13%) over Tom Wolf (11%) among those who have not seen any Wolf ads.